Storm Outlook Next Week - (Very Low Risk)

Over the next five days it will be all clear for most of Alberta and Saskatchewan except for Monday. Manitoba will get most of the action Saturday, save the extreme south east corner of Saskatchewan. No major systems are showing up on the forecast models next week besides what is heading into northern Ontario tonight. That major system is now long gone and will allow for a much more calm series of days with little or no storms. On Monday severe thunderstorms are expected for a large area of the prairies including southern Saskatchewan but these storms will be much more localized than the previous system with little danger of widespread damage.

Updates will be very limited due to work commitments next week.

It seems the peak system of the year has passed so please enjoy your summer and see you next year!

Side note: having a look at the moon phases, there could be one last round of major storms around the full moon phase (July 18 up cycle to July 22 down cycle to July 26) which could also explain why the cap held and baffled many storm chasers yesterday. Much respect to the pros, they got it right.

If I am wrong again, sorry for bothering, keep in mind this is all for science. Thank you for your input.

Jared Mysko

Today's Outlook Map

Moderate Risk

PSPC (Prairie Storm Prediction Centre) for the 2pm update states, "...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SEVERE TSTMS OVER EAST CENTRAL SASKATCHEWAN AND WEST CENTRAL MB LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SLGT RISK OF SEVRE TSTMS OVER SERN SK/SWRN MB AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL SK INTO EAST CENTRAL AB."  


Our map shows this area with a high risk included for later on in the evening near sunset. A lone supercell came down the number 1 highway early this morning and seems to have parked itself over the city of Regina. Severe thunderstorm watches have been issued for all of central east and west Saskatchewan and central Alberta. These should be extended south and east as the day progresses and this cell begins to organize itself. Please pay very close attention to watches and warnings in your area today and this evening. Updates to this blog will be limited to the #skstorm column on the right hand side of this page.

Echo Tops Radar 1:20pm

Echo Tops Radar 1:50pm

Weekend At The Lake [with music, photos and video]

Dramatic Storm Music To Start Your Day

Symphony No. 5: Allegro Con Brio - Beethoven 

Storm Cluster Timelapse (Weekend at the lake)

Photos of some storm clusters over Pratt Lake, Saskatchewan this past weekend:

Revised Outlook Maps For Thursday Storms

As expected, severe thunderstorms have begun in the central Alberta areas around Edmonton and have begun to creep into west central Saskatchewan. Forecast models have done some shifting north for this system. Here is the latest risk map for tonight. Storms will calm down overnight and re-fire into a full blown outbreak in Saskatchewan Thursday, see graphics below:

Another update for Thursday as forecast models are continuing to suggest a very significant severe weather outbreak throughout the province of Saskatchewan. Areas of Manitoba have been dropped for the morning and afternoon storms and may not get much until Friday according to the latest model runs. A risk of a tornado near noon in the La Ronge area of north central Saskatchewan and supercell thunderstorms across most of the south and central areas will increase in strength as they move east. This large complex of storms will spread across the province in the largest of swaths from north to south. Later in the evening around 8pm will see the tornado threat reach maximum danger level in areas around Yorkton.  

Please stay tuned for updates and follow official Environment Canada watches and warning with the utmost respect and STAY SAFE!