Saskatchewan - Severe Weather Today - Risk Map

Severe weather is expected today in areas from Regina to Melfort and Yorkton regions. Tornadoes may form with some of these storms but are not expected to be very strong. Often though, it is the ones we don't expect that end up doing the most damage so keep an eye on the weather and never underestimate its power!

Tornadoes For Interlakes Manitoba - (Risk Map)

1pm Update: Severe Thunderstorm Watches have been issued and storms are emerging along the International border. Initiation is expected to occur for severe thunderstorms in the triangle of Yorkton, Regina and Brandon.

Humidex advisories have been issued for much of eastern Saskatchewan and southern Manitoba. Values are expected to reach 43c in some areas. This factors into the extreme CAPE values, which are now off the chart, beyond maximum measurements in southern Manitoba. The humidex advisory area stops at Regina, where temperatures fall off and severe thunderstorms are added to the local forecast. A slight to moderate risk has been issued by the Prairie Arctic Storm Prediction Centre in south eastern Saskatchewan and southern Manitoba. Currently storms are emerging at the USA border with Manitoba where SPC there has a slight risk with 2% tornado risk. This risk increases slightly further north, in an area between north of Brandon and Winnipeg, south of the interlakes region.

Latest Update - Severe Thunderstorm Watches and Warnings

Severe thunderstorm watches have been issued for western Saskatchewan, including Saskatoon. A severe thunderstorm warning for the Biggar, Rosetown area is now active. A large thunderstorm is moving east from there and will collide with a very unstable airmass near Saskatoon towards Yorkton later this afternoon‪. Severe thunderstorm watches are stretching all the way from central Saskatchewan to the foothills of Alberta, tornado watches may be issued soon in eastern Saskatchewan. The clear spot over Quill Lakes will be the trigger for the tornadic cells to emerge with little or no warning .‪ Storm chasers are currently holding their positions near Wynyard in east central Saskatchewan waiting for initiation around 4pm.

Today's Risk Map

The moderate risk area has expanded as expected with the area area around Yorkton holding onto a dangerous threat of several tornadoes today. The most important time of the day will be between 3pm and 9pm with the split occurring around 8pm. Please have a safety plan and be ready!

HEADS UP! Severe Weather EVENT. Strong Tornadoes Forecast for Yorkton Area Tomorrow!

Forecast models have been suggesting that Wednesday will be the day for a possible outbreak of severe weather in southern Saskatchewan and PASPC confirmed this earlier today, issuing a "Moderate Risk" for several tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in south east Saskatchewan, especially around the Yorkton region. After pouring over the latest models and forecast observations, it looks like storms will begin near midnight tonight and come from the south initially, growing in strength as the night turns to morning. A split occurs just after noon Saskatchewan time. This is similar to the June 26th event where we easily caught up to a growing tornadic cell west of Moose Jaw, filming 2 violent tornadoes and witnessing a 3rd rope tornado at extremely close range. The only major difference is that it seems to completely die off at sunset near 9pm without a following squall line. In conclusion, the most dangerous cell should initiate somewhere between Regina and Yorkton around 1pm and split into several tornadic supercells, growing one by one towards well north of Yorkton and moving south east. The cells with the most distinguishable right turning action that do not move north but race east will be the most dangerous. We will continue to monitor and update the situation here as things develop. The next major update will be around 8am and the map will likely be upgraded at that time. Take this time to contact loved ones, secure property and make a safety plan!