Moderate Risk Day 2 Thursday, August 9th, 2023

 Moderate Risk Day 2 Thursday, August 9th, 2023

Be READY for #skstorm tomorrow!

Technical discussion:

Two different scenarios featured by today's short and mid term forecast models. The hrrr shows more convection with storms over Regina, the NAM Nest is showing little to no convection for the city. Both models agree that the Estevan region will be in the DANGER ZONE from 4pm to at least 8pm. Regina might see more tornadic storms form later in the evening or overnight (7pm to 9pm and 1am). With experience of watching these patterns fold and unfold, our best guess is to put all of southern Saskatchewan on storm watch with southeastern areas ready to be on high alert in cast heat energy continues to over take the extreme humidity. Lack of ground water to the west will stir up winds, extreme humidity in the east may trigger tornadoes with this system.

Enjoy the weather, pray for rain and stay safe!

New Playlist: Old Music New Videos

Check out our new playlist on YouTube, all the new videos with old music will be showing up here: 

23/7/23 Tornado Risk Today / Maximum Heat Monday

A non-zero tornado risk has been added for both Alberta and southern Saskatchewan today. Extra rain showers overnight and this morning plus clearing out of smoke is increasing the possibility of strong thunderstorms, if anything they will be very discrete (small yet powerful) . More likely is the heat wave on Monday, with up to 35C/95F as a high temperature by 5pm. Perfect time to defrost the refrigerator!

 

Update #3 Its Montana Monday/Mid Term Models

 Monday is coming in hot for Montana. That is a storm that will need several cameras on it. #mtwx This composite radar image (NAM Nest) is for 8pm as it enters North Dakota. Big storms coming across the northern plains this week!

Tuesday, July 18th could produce tornadoes in southeast Saskatchewan. We will know much more as mid term models begin to reveal the radar.

UPDATE #2 Next Big Storm System: July 18th and 19th, 2023

 Checking the GFS forecast model, today's 12z update, the supercell composite continues to show an area of southern Saskatchewan, southern Manitoba, Montana and the Dakotas in the mix for supercell action from July 18th to July 19th for Canadian provinces, and continuing further south into the states July 20th.