Tuesday, August 29, 2023

Moderate Risk #skstorm Supercells on Wednesday

The latest high resolution forecast model is showing a line of strong thunderstorms across southeast Saskatchewan between 5pm and 9pm, moving northeast from there overnight into Manitoba for Thursday's risk. Up to 2 cm hail and flash flooding are the main risks. High winds and tornado risk are very low. Supercell structure might be good. Note: tornado risk increases overnight into Thursday for Manitoba. Several waves possible.




 

Potential 220 km/hr Landfall for Hurricane Idalia

 

Danger Area in northern Florida Wednesday morning

Monday, August 28, 2023

Strong Thunderstorm / Weak Tornado Wednesday

Spotted a tornado in the first run of the NAM Nest 18z which shows a system developing over the city of Regina between 7pm and 9pm with 0.74 inches/1.9cm of rain, potential for a weak tornado and the supercell index climbed well above what the GFS was saying last night. Looks very localized, most of southeast Saskatchewan will get showers and lightning at most. Keep in mind the smoke could tear this whole idea apart, wildfire / forest fire smoke continues to be very bad in the far north. Add a strong full moon cycle as well into the mix and it will get interesting for sure, storm season isn't over.








 

Today's Song: Bad Moon Rising

Check TimeAndDate.com for moon phases and SpaceWeather.com for Solar Flares

Its Happening!