Play by Play Commentary on Local and International Weather Events Documentation and Relay Alerts of Severe Weather Events from Regina, Saskatchewan.
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Today's Thunderstorm Outlook from PASPC has downgraded the risk and models suggest things are being delayed until Wednesday. Central Saskatchewan will be the focus this evening with a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms. On Wednesday the storms ramp up significantly according to the latest NAM Nest. Border areas of western and southeastern Saskatchewan could see some top level action but keep in mind these models have been changing drastically run to run. Things WILL CHANGE, stay safe by keeping up to date with the latest here and by watching the skies, radar and official alerts.
We are in the process of re-building our Facebook page in case the old one doesn't come back. Its been well past the suggested "just over a day" appeal process so we must move on and continue this work. Links will be updated as well as friends and follows as we go. Thanks for your understanding.
It was very foggy this morning in Regina, models show that as it clears up the thunderstorms also clear right out. Absolutely zero rain or anything close to a thunderstorm on both hrrr and NAM Nest forecast models across the eastern prairies this evening. Tuesday looks like our day. Tornadic storms from Alberta this afternoon and evening should arrive in southern Saskatchewan by Tuesday afternoon/evening according to the NAM Nest.
Here is today's thunderstorm outlook plus current radar with lightning overlay which shows how active the weather is already as of 9am this morning. Forecast models suggest a strong storm popping up either at 3 to 4pm or 6 to 7pm depending on the model. Both showing the storm starting off in the Regina city area, one more spread out and dumping more rain than the other. Timing will be key today. There might be a very short window to film a storm today at Wascana Lake, should be a fun day!
The 12z runs of both NAM Nest and hrrr show thunderstorm activity in the city of Regina area Sunday evening, August 17th, 2025. Rainfall totals show a couple storms, one for the north side and the second will cover the city mostly on the south side later at night. Keep in minds these models change a lot from run to run. Radar and sky watching is the best way to know if there is a storm. The computer is just tossing out guesses. Not an official forecast, its Play by Play of Local and International Weather Events!
Here is today's thunderstorm outlook from PASPC showing multiple sectors in the yellow moderate risk zone. Tornado risk for Edmonton and areas to the east of the city today. Southern Saskatchewan is primed for a strong supercell along the southern border. Sunday looks much better for the city of Regina for multiple waves of storms. Generally today will be the western prairies.
So far each run has been consistent showing a storm south of Swift Current popping up late Saturday afternoon and quickly going very big. This is the NAM Nest 6z radar composite, which has back further away from Regina compared to previous runs but the initiation point remining the same. Now waiting to see the 12z, if anything major changes we will post it here or on X @StormRangerBike. Considering doing more posts on SaskaTube via Twitch and YouTube as we are still awaiting our appeal on Facebook. Mobile live streams will be on Saskatchewan Storms and Wildlife Wonders YouTube channel while we will stick to Twitch for in-studio live streams with the weather station and skycam.
Here is the latest GFS Supercell Composite and it continues to show August 18-19 as the focus for the next supercell situation in Saskatchewan with the 17th and 20 added this run. It has consistently been showing this activity for several days now.
Wind gusts up to 120km/hr east of Winnipeg are possible later this afternoon and evening with risk of a tornado and large hail.
Forecast models are struggling to keep up for some reason, best to watch radar because a lot of the data is missing elements. Here is a snip of what the latest composite radar from the hrrr shows at 8pm SST or 9pm Manitoba Time.
They say we can appeal and wait 24 hours, until then follow @StormRangerBike on X and here on Blogger. Saskatchewan Storms and Wildlife Wonders on YouTube
Note: It was not weather related, the system detected a meme on my personal profile and flagged it from March 2018 and they just notified me today. Once I found out and made a post about it, the account was locked. The offending content was from imjur and was removed on both sites.
On Thursday, June 19th, 2025 a major tornado outbreak occurred in southern Saskatchewan in three different locations, one east of Saskatoon, another two that split east of Regina and the first one by Frobisher which is further south in the Estevan region. Multiple storm chasers were able to catch incredible footage and we have collected a number of links with possibly more to be added. Scroll down to the bottom of this page to see our snips from earlier in the day where we marked the map with potential tornado locations.
Here is a collection of links to some of the tornado footage that we were able to find on social media:
